Every settled MLB pick the model has published — wins and losses at equal weight, no cherry-picked windows. This is the experiment in public: the tools are the product, and this page is the receipt.
as of Sep 27, 10:00 PM ET · refreshed hourly
Cumulative units
Running total across every settled pick, by game date.
Month by month
Wins and losses carry the same weight.
Month
W
L
Win %
Units
March 2026
9
8
52.9%
−0.4
April 2026
28
27
50.9%
+0.1
May 2026
1
10
9.1%
−9.2
June 2026
5
10
33.3%
−5.6
July 2026
8
8
50.0%
+0.3
August 2026
7
7
50.0%
−0.5
September 2026
3
3
50.0%
−0.1
Season
61
73
45.5%
−15.6
By strategy
Same math, split by the strategy that made the pick.
Strategy
W
L
Win %
Units
Pitcher k over ranked v1
39
45
46.4%
−8.1
Pitcher outs under v1
22
28
44.0%
−7.5
How units are counted
Flat 1u risked per pick at the best price available when the pick was published. Wins at plus money pay odds/100; wins at minus money pay 100/|odds|. Losses cost 1u. Pushes grade 0u and are excluded from win%. Scope: published MLB strategy picks that have settled — unsettled and tracked-only plays are not included.
win at +120 → +1.20u · win at −150 → +0.67u · loss → −1.00u