Live · Scanning 15 MLB games

The market has a tell.
OddsGuy sees it.

We run the numbers across every book, every game, every line. You just get the best bets — ranked, explained, and ready to place.

7W-3L Opening Week·+61% ROI·3 scans daily
✅ GOOD PLAY
+18.2% EV
Ashcraft Under 5.5 Ks
Pirates @ Reds
“Sharp money is already moving the Ashcraft under — Pinnacle is 13% ahead of DK on this line and the numbers strongly agree. Four hours to act.”
DK -133 · $22Place BetSee Evidence ↓
Model
82%
Pin
78%
DK
65%
Book
DraftKings
Score: 68/100 · A-Tier · Best: DK -133
Opening Week:7W-3L·+$64 P&L·+61% ROI·Avg EV at bet: 33.5%·Best bet: 3-leg parlay +$47·Model accuracy: HIGH tier 84%+Opening Week:7W-3L·+$64 P&L·+61% ROI·Avg EV at bet: 33.5%·Best bet: 3-leg parlay +$47·Model accuracy: HIGH tier 84%+Opening Week:7W-3L·+$64 P&L·+61% ROI·Avg EV at bet: 33.5%·Best bet: 3-leg parlay +$47·Model accuracy: HIGH tier 84%+Opening Week:7W-3L·+$64 P&L·+61% ROI·Avg EV at bet: 33.5%·Best bet: 3-leg parlay +$47·Model accuracy: HIGH tier 84%+
THE PROCESS

How OddsGuy works

🔍
01

Three Sources of Truth

Our model runs Poisson distributions on pitcher stats. Pinnacle prices the sharp consensus. DraftKings shows the retail lag. We measure all three — independently.

02

Signal Fires When They Agree

When the statistical model AND Pinnacle both say DK is wrong on the same side — that's the edge. Not one signal. Three.

💰
03

You Get the Exact Bet

Tier-rated (S/A/B), Kelly-sized, best book identified. Open the dashboard, see the card, place the bet. That's it.

EDGE DETECTION

What OddsGuy hunts for

🎯

Pitcher K Unders

Young starters get overpriced by public action. Our Poisson model catches when books set K lines too high against the actual SwStr% and matchup data.

📊

Pinnacle vs DK Gaps

Pinnacle is the sharpest book in the world. When DK's price is 6%+ off from Pinnacle — and it's not a ghost edge — that's real edge.

🔗

SGP Overlays

Same-game parlays often misprice correlations. Pitcher strikes out a lot = fewer hits. OddsGuy finds legs that amplify each other.

Line Movement Signals

When Pinnacle moves hard in one direction and DK lags — the window is open. We detect the move speed and flag time-sensitive edges.

PRICING

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