Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola

PHI · P

Innings eater: 5.2 IP per start, 23.85% K rate, 25.51% whiff.

Everything you need to know about Aaron Nola before you bet. His whiff rate is 30.2% — well above the league average of ~25%. He throws his fastball at 91.3 mph. Compare odds across 8 sportsbooks for every prop market below.

Compared to other innings eaters

Highest IP per Start among innings eaters this season. Top 10.

#PlayerTeamIP per Start
1Logan WebbSF6.51
2Sandy AlcantaraMIA6.50
3Matthew BoydCHC6.33
4Michael WachaKC6.31
5Troy MeltonDET6.18
6Tanner BibeeCLE6.07
7Logan GilbertSEA6.02
8Cade CavalliWSH6.00
9Shane BieberTOR5.94
10Eduardo RodriguezAZ5.92

Aaron Nola is not in the top 10 innings eaters on ip per start this season.

How is Aaron Nola performing?

Aaron Nola is a workhorse starter who prioritizes volume over strikeout dominance. Across 19 starts, he's averaged 5.2 innings per outing, staying in games long enough to accumulate workload. His 23.85% strikeout rate and 25.51% whiff rate are modest, suggesting he's not overpowering hitters. The profile is built on efficiency and durability rather than dominant stuff.

Performance summary as of week of August 3, 2026

Whiff Rate

30.2%

Above average

K Over Rate

50%

5 of 10 games

Fastball Velo

91.3 mph

Bottom 14%

Average

Outs Over Rate

60%

6 of 10 games

Whiff RateHow often batters swing and miss at his pitches. Higher = more strikeout upside. League average is ~25%.

K Over RateHow often he goes over his strikeout line. Shows how reliable he is for K props.

Fastball VeloAverage speed of his fastball. Harder throwers tend to generate more swings and misses.

Outs Over RateHow often he goes over his outs recorded line. Higher = he pitches deeper into games.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Aaron Nola. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Keep researching Aaron Nola

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

How has Aaron Nola been pitching lately?

These are Aaron Nola's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics that predict prop outcomes. Green values mean he's well above the league average.

Whiff Rate

30.2%

Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%

Chase Rate

32.6%

Chases outside zone · avg ~30%

Fastball Velo

91.3mph

Bottom 14%

Average heater speed · avg ~93.5

CSW Rate

30.1%

Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%

What pitches does Aaron Nola throw?

Aaron Nola's pitch mix — how often he throws each type.

Fastball
57.3%
Breaking Ball
30.4%
Offspeed
12.3%

How has Aaron Nola been pitching recently?

Each bar shows strikeouts per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted strikeouts line (5.5). He went over 3 of 5 times against this line.

5.5
8
Aug 19MIA@PHI
9
Aug 13PHI@MIN
8
Aug 8TOR@PHI
5
Aug 3WSH@PHI
4
Jul 28PHI@MIA
OverUnderLine (5.5)

Our model has analyzed Aaron Nola's matchup.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are Aaron Nola's prop odds tonight?

Aaron Nola (PHI) typically has three pitcher prop markets posted before each start: strikeouts, outs recorded, and earned runs. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best price in gold.

What is Aaron Nola's pitching style?

Aaron Nola throws fastballs about 57.3% of the time, breaking balls 30.4%, and offspeed pitches 12.3%. His whiff rate is 30.2% — well above the ~25% league average. Fastball velocity sits at 91.3 mph. Called-strike-plus-whiff rate is 30.1%.

How has Aaron Nola been performing recently?

Over his last 10 starts, Aaron Nola has gone over his outs-recorded line 60% of the time, over his earned-runs line — of the time. Each prop page above shows the full game-by-game line history with actual outcomes.

Where can I bet on Aaron Nola props?

Aaron Nola props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. Each prop page on OddsGuy shows current pricing across all 8 books so you can shop for the best number before betting.

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Copy for AI
Aaron Nola — PHI P
Whiff rate: 30.2% (league avg ~25%)
Fastball velocity: 91.3 mph
Pitch mix: 57.3% fastball, 30.4% breaking, 12.3% offspeed
Outs over rate: 60% (last 10 games)
Earned runs over rate: — (last 10 games)