Ezequiel Duran

Ezequiel Duran Hits

TEX · SS

Will Ezequiel Duran get more than 0.5 hits? He has in 35% of his last 20 starts.

Ezequiel Duran hits line — live odds

No live line for this prop today — updated when books post.

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What should I know about hits props?

Hits props are usually driven by lineup spot, matchup, and recent contact quality. This page gives the live line and recent outcomes; compare it to the player hub and broader slate context before betting.

Tonight's matchup
TEX @ MIL · Milwaukee Brewers (away) · facing Shane Drohan
7:15 PM EDT

Where are the best odds for Ezequiel Duran hits?

No odds available right now. Check back closer to game time.

How often does he hit this number?

Over rate · last 20 games

35%

Each bar shows hits per start. He went over his hits line in 3 of 5 of these games (each game uses its own posted line).

1
Aug 29TEX@MIL
0
Aug 28TEX@MIL
2
Aug 26TEX@CWS
1
Aug 25TEX@CWS
2
Aug 24TEX@CWS
OverUnder

Statcast Numbers

The metrics that drive hits most directly.

Whiff %

29.1%

Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%

Hard Hit %

20.4%

Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%

K Rate

26.0%

Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%

Stats as of 2026-08-28 · extended sample through 2025-09-28

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More on Ezequiel Duran

What each sportsbook is paying

4 books have priced Ezequiel Duran's hits over 0.5 and they do not agree. Taking DK over BR is worth $6.86 more profit on the same $100 bet.

Ezequiel Duran Hits over 0.5 — price at each sportsbook with implied probability
SportsbookOver 0.5ImpliedProfit on $100
DKbest−17263.2%$58.14
MGM−19065.5%$52.63
BOL−19265.8%$52.08
BR−19566.1%$51.28

Every posted price above overstates the chance, because the book's margin is baked into it. Strip that out and the sharp market's own estimate is 60.7% — a fair price of −154. That is a forecast with money behind it, not our opinion, and it is the number the posted prices should be read against. How fair odds work.

Prices are the most recent we collected and move through the day. We are not affiliated with any sportsbook and there are no betting links on this page — this is a reference, not a recommendation. See every market on tonight's board.

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Related MLB research for hits

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the hits line for Ezequiel Duran tonight?

The current hits line for Ezequiel Duran (TEX) is 0.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.

How often does Ezequiel Duran go over on hits?

Over his last 20 settled games, Ezequiel Duran has gone over the hits line 35% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.

Where can I find the best odds for Ezequiel Duran hits?

OddsGuy compares Ezequiel Duran hits pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.

Is Ezequiel Duran's hits prop worth betting?

OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual hits props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.

Copy for AI
Ezequiel Duran Hits Prop Analysis
Team: TEX | Position: SS
Line: 0.5 hits
Hit rate: 35% over last 20 games