Kevin Gausman Earned Runs
CHC · P
Will Kevin Gausman get more than 2.5 earned runs? Recent prop history isn't available yet.
Kevin Gausman earned runs line — live odds
as of 12:05 PM ET| Side · 2.5 | DK | FD | MGM | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | +121 | — | +115 | +121DK |
| Under 2.5 | −161 | — | −155 | −155MGM |
8 of his last 10 over 2.5 earned runs
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Earned runs props are sensitive to run environment, matchup strength, and leash. Use this page for the price and game-log context, then compare to tonight’s broader slate conditions.
Kevin Gausman is not on tonight's slate.
Where are the best odds for Kevin Gausman earned runs?
How often does he hit this number?
Each bar shows earned runs per start. He went over his earned runs line in 5 of 5 of these games (each game uses its own posted line).
Statcast Numbers
Whiff Rate
29.3%
Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%
Chase Rate
36.1%
Top 6%Chases outside zone · avg ~30%
CSW Rate
30.5%
Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%
Under Rate — How often he stays under his earned runs line. Higher = he limits damage consistently.
CSW Rate — Called strikes + whiffs per pitch. Pitchers with high CSW tend to avoid big innings.
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What each sportsbook is paying
4 books have priced Kevin Gausman's earned runs over 2.5 and they do not agree. Taking MGM over DK is worth $3 more profit on the same $100 bet.
| Sportsbook | Over 2.5 | Implied | Profit on $100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| MGMbest | +110 | 47.6% | $110.00 |
| BOV | +110 | 47.6% | $110.00 |
| FAN | +110 | 47.6% | $110.00 |
| DK | +107 | 48.3% | $107.00 |
Every posted price above overstates the chance, because the book's margin is baked into it. Strip that out and the sharp market's own estimate is 44.3% — a fair price of +126. That is a forecast with money behind it, not our opinion, and it is the number the posted prices should be read against. How fair odds work.
Prices are the most recent we collected and move through the day. We are not affiliated with any sportsbook and there are no betting links on this page — this is a reference, not a recommendation. See every market on tonight's board.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the earned runs line for Kevin Gausman tonight?▾
The current earned runs line for Kevin Gausman (CHC) is 2.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
How often does Kevin Gausman go over on earned runs?▾
Recent earned runs hit-rate isn't calculable yet for Kevin Gausman — the prop_results dataset needs at least a few settled games to produce a meaningful percentage. Once enough games settle, this section will populate with the over rate and a game-by-game chart.
Where can I find the best odds for Kevin Gausman earned runs?▾
OddsGuy compares Kevin Gausman earned runs pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
Is Kevin Gausman's earned runs prop worth betting?▾
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual earned runs props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Kevin Gausman Earned Runs Prop Analysis Team: CHC | Position: P Line: 2.5 earned runs