Manny Machado Hits
SD · 3B
Will Manny Machado get more than 2.5 hits? He has in 40% of his last 20 starts.
Manny Machado hits line — live odds
as of 3:37 PM ET| Side · 0.5 | DK | FD | MGM | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | +240 | — | — | +240DK |
| Under 0.5 | −340 | — | — | −340DK |
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Hits props are usually driven by lineup spot, matchup, and recent contact quality. This page gives the live line and recent outcomes; compare it to the player hub and broader slate context before betting.
Where are the best odds for Manny Machado hits?
How often does he hit this number?
Over rate · last 20 games
Each bar shows hits per start. He went over his hits line in 3 of 5 of these games (each game uses its own posted line).
Statcast Numbers
The metrics that drive hits most directly.
Whiff %
21.9%
Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
38.7%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
K Rate
20.5%
Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Stats as of 2026-08-28 · extended sample through 2025-09-28
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What each sportsbook is paying
4 books have priced Manny Machado's hits over 0.5 and they do not agree. Taking MGM over BR is worth $9.32 more profit on the same $100 bet.
| Sportsbook | Over 0.5 | Implied | Profit on $100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| MGMbest | −165 | 62.3% | $60.61 |
| BOL | −185 | 64.9% | $54.05 |
| DK | −195 | 66.1% | $51.28 |
| BR | −195 | 66.1% | $51.28 |
Every posted price above overstates the chance, because the book's margin is baked into it. Strip that out and the sharp market's own estimate is 60.4% — a fair price of −153. That is a forecast with money behind it, not our opinion, and it is the number the posted prices should be read against. How fair odds work.
Prices are the most recent we collected and move through the day. We are not affiliated with any sportsbook and there are no betting links on this page — this is a reference, not a recommendation. See every market on tonight's board.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the hits line for Manny Machado tonight?▾
The current hits line for Manny Machado (SD) is 2.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
How often does Manny Machado go over on hits?▾
Over his last 20 settled games, Manny Machado has gone over the hits line 40% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.
Where can I find the best odds for Manny Machado hits?▾
OddsGuy compares Manny Machado hits pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
Is Manny Machado's hits prop worth betting?▾
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual hits props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Manny Machado Hits Prop Analysis Team: SD | Position: 3B Line: 2.5 hits Hit rate: 40% over last 20 games