Matthew Liberatore

Matthew Liberatore

STL · P

Volume starter: 4.7 IP per start, 26.9% K rate, 21.2% whiff.

Everything you need to know about Matthew Liberatore before you bet. His whiff rate is 25.6% — right around league average. He throws his fastball at 93.8 mph. Compare odds across 8 sportsbooks for every prop market below.

Compared to other strikeout specialists

Highest K Rate among strikeout specialists this season. Top 7.

#PlayerTeamK Rate
1Kodai SengaNYM42.3%
2David PetersonCHC36.8%
3Andrew AlvarezWSH36.0%
4Christian ScottNYM32.2%
5Jared JonesPIT29.6%
6Matthew Liberatoreyou are hereSTL28.2%
7Jacob LopezATH28.0%

How is Matthew Liberatore performing?

Matthew Liberatore is a durable starter built for volume. Across 17 starts, he's averaged 4.7 innings per outing, providing consistent depth without needing to dominate. A 26.9% strikeout rate paired with a 21.2% whiff rate shows he generates swing-and-miss through movement and sequencing rather than overpowering stuff. The profile is innings pitched and reliability, not strikeout dominance.

Performance summary as of week of August 3, 2026

Whiff Rate

25.6%

League average

K Over Rate

70%

Top 2%

7 of 10 games

Fastball Velo

93.8 mph

Average

Outs Over Rate

50%

5 of 10 games

Whiff RateHow often batters swing and miss at his pitches. Higher = more strikeout upside. League average is ~25%.

K Over RateHow often he goes over his strikeout line. Shows how reliable he is for K props.

Fastball VeloAverage speed of his fastball. Harder throwers tend to generate more swings and misses.

Outs Over RateHow often he goes over his outs recorded line. Higher = he pitches deeper into games.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Matthew Liberatore. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Keep researching Matthew Liberatore

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

How has Matthew Liberatore been pitching lately?

These are Matthew Liberatore's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics that predict prop outcomes. Green values mean he's well above the league average.

Whiff Rate

25.6%

Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%

Chase Rate

27.8%

Chases outside zone · avg ~30%

Fastball Velo

93.8mph

Average heater speed · avg ~93.5

CSW Rate

31.2%

Top 14%

Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%

What pitches does Matthew Liberatore throw?

Matthew Liberatore's pitch mix — how often he throws each type.

Fastball
46.9%
Breaking Ball
35.1%
Offspeed
18%

How has Matthew Liberatore been pitching recently?

Each bar shows strikeouts per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted strikeouts line (5.5). He went over 4 of 5 times against this line.

5.5
9
Aug 30PIT@STL
7
Aug 25BAL@STL
9
Aug 19STL@CIN
6
Aug 14STL@CHC
3
Aug 8COL@STL
OverUnderLine (5.5)

Our model has analyzed Matthew Liberatore's matchup.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are Matthew Liberatore's prop odds tonight?

Matthew Liberatore (STL) typically has three pitcher prop markets posted before each start: strikeouts, outs recorded, and earned runs. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best price in gold.

What is Matthew Liberatore's pitching style?

Matthew Liberatore throws fastballs about 46.9% of the time, breaking balls 35.1%, and offspeed pitches 18%. His whiff rate is 25.6% — close to the ~25% league average. Fastball velocity sits at 93.8 mph. Called-strike-plus-whiff rate is 31.2%.

How has Matthew Liberatore been performing recently?

Over his last 10 starts, Matthew Liberatore has gone over his outs-recorded line 50% of the time, over his earned-runs line — of the time. Each prop page above shows the full game-by-game line history with actual outcomes.

Where can I bet on Matthew Liberatore props?

Matthew Liberatore props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. Each prop page on OddsGuy shows current pricing across all 8 books so you can shop for the best number before betting.

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Matthew Liberatore — STL P
Whiff rate: 25.6% (league avg ~25%)
Fastball velocity: 93.8 mph
Pitch mix: 46.9% fastball, 35.1% breaking, 18% offspeed
Outs over rate: 50% (last 10 games)
Earned runs over rate: — (last 10 games)