Ryan Gusto Earned Runs
MIA · P
Will Ryan Gusto get more than 1.5 earned runs? Recent prop history isn't available yet.
Ryan Gusto earned runs line — live odds
No live line for this prop today — updated when books post.
2 of his last 10 over the posted line
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Earned runs props are sensitive to run environment, matchup strength, and leash. Use this page for the price and game-log context, then compare to tonight’s broader slate conditions.
Ryan Gusto is not on tonight's slate.
Where are the best odds for Ryan Gusto earned runs?
Best price for more than 1.5 earned runs: DraftKings
| Sportsbook | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Fliff | -180 | +110 |
| BetMGM | -185 | +135 |
| DraftKings | -156 | +117 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -160 | +120 |
| Fanatics | -185 | +130 |
How often does he hit this number?
Each bar shows earned runs per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted earned runs line (1.5). He went over 2 of 5 times against this line.
Statcast Numbers
Whiff Rate
21.5%
Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%
Chase Rate
30.1%
Chases outside zone · avg ~30%
CSW Rate
33.5%
Top 3%Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%
Under Rate — How often he stays under his earned runs line. Higher = he limits damage consistently.
CSW Rate — Called strikes + whiffs per pitch. Pitchers with high CSW tend to avoid big innings.
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What each sportsbook is paying
2 books have priced Ryan Gusto's earned runs over 2.5 and they do not agree. Taking BOV over MGM is worth $5 more profit on the same $100 bet.
| Sportsbook | Over 2.5 | Implied | Profit on $100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| BOVbest | +125 | 44.4% | $125.00 |
| MGM | +120 | 45.5% | $120.00 |
Every posted price above overstates the chance, because the book's margin is baked into it. Strip that out and the sharp market's own estimate is 42.1% — a fair price of +138. That is a forecast with money behind it, not our opinion, and it is the number the posted prices should be read against. How fair odds work.
Prices are the most recent we collected and move through the day. We are not affiliated with any sportsbook and there are no betting links on this page — this is a reference, not a recommendation. See every market on tonight's board.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the earned runs line for Ryan Gusto tonight?▾
The current earned runs line for Ryan Gusto (MIA) is 1.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
How often does Ryan Gusto go over on earned runs?▾
Recent earned runs hit-rate isn't calculable yet for Ryan Gusto — the prop_results dataset needs at least a few settled games to produce a meaningful percentage. Once enough games settle, this section will populate with the over rate and a game-by-game chart.
Where can I find the best odds for Ryan Gusto earned runs?▾
OddsGuy compares Ryan Gusto earned runs pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
Is Ryan Gusto's earned runs prop worth betting?▾
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual earned runs props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Ryan Gusto Earned Runs Prop Analysis Team: MIA | Position: P Line: 1.5 earned runs Odds: Fliff O-180/U110, BetMGM O-185/U135, DraftKings O-156/U117, Hard Rock Bet O-160/U120, Fanatics O-185/U130