Seth Lugo

Seth Lugo

KC · P

Volume starter: 5.2 IP/start, 21.7% K rate, 19.4% whiff.

Everything you need to know about Seth Lugo before you bet. His whiff rate is 20.9% — below league average. He throws his fastball at 91.1 mph. Compare odds across 8 sportsbooks for every prop market below.

Compared to other innings eaters

Highest IP per Start among innings eaters this season. Top 10.

#PlayerTeamIP per Start
1Logan WebbSF7.00
2Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD6.67
3Troy MeltonDET6.67
4Sandy AlcantaraMIA6.47
5Nathan EovaldiTEX6.30
6Michael WachaKC6.26
7Dustin MayMIL6.23
8Bryce MillerSEA6.17
9Parker MessickCLE6.10
10Justin WrobleskiLAD6.05

Seth Lugo is not in the top 10 innings eaters on ip per start this season.

How is Seth Lugo performing?

Seth Lugo is a volume starter built on consistency over dominance. Across 26 starts, he's averaged 5.2 innings per outing with a 21.7% strikeout rate and 19.4% whiff rate—a gap that signals reliance on weak contact and ground balls rather than pure swing-and-miss stuff. The profile is depth-arm reliable: he'll eat innings without overpowering stuff, making him a steady mid-rotation option for teams needing length.

Performance summary as of week of October 12, 2026

Whiff Rate

20.9%

Below average

K Over Rate

50%

5 of 10 games

Fastball Velo

91.1 mph

Average

Outs Over Rate

30%

Bottom 2%

3 of 10 games

Whiff Rate — How often batters swing and miss at his pitches. Higher = more strikeout upside. League average is ~25%.

K Over Rate — How often he goes over his strikeout line. Shows how reliable he is for K props.

Fastball Velo — Average speed of his fastball. Harder throwers tend to generate more swings and misses.

Outs Over Rate — How often he goes over his outs recorded line. Higher = he pitches deeper into games.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Seth Lugo. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Keep researching Seth Lugo

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

How has Seth Lugo been pitching lately?

These are Seth Lugo's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics that predict prop outcomes. Green values mean he's well above the league average.

Whiff Rate

20.9%

Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%

Chase Rate

29.3%

Chases outside zone · avg ~30%

Fastball Velo

91.1mph

Bottom 12%

Average heater speed · avg ~93.5

CSW Rate

27.7%

Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%

What pitches does Seth Lugo throw?

Seth Lugo's pitch mix — how often he throws each type.

Fastball
53.4%
Breaking Ball
39.9%
Offspeed
6.7%

How has Seth Lugo been pitching recently?

Each bar shows strikeouts per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted strikeouts line (4.5). He went over 2 of 5 times against this line.

4.5
3
Sep 23CWS@KC
5
Sep 17KC@HOU
7
Sep 11KC@BOS
1
Sep 5TOR@KC
2
Aug 30KC@CLE
OverUnderLine (4.5)

Our model has analyzed Seth Lugo's matchup.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are Seth Lugo's prop odds tonight?▾

Seth Lugo (KC) typically has three pitcher prop markets posted before each start: strikeouts, outs recorded, and earned runs. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best price in gold.

What is Seth Lugo's pitching style?▾

Seth Lugo throws fastballs about 53.4% of the time, breaking balls 39.9%, and offspeed pitches 6.7%. His whiff rate is 20.9% — below the ~25% league average. Fastball velocity sits at 91.1 mph. Called-strike-plus-whiff rate is 27.7%.

How has Seth Lugo been performing recently?▾

Over his last 10 starts, Seth Lugo has gone over his outs-recorded line 30% of the time, over his earned-runs line — of the time. Each prop page above shows the full game-by-game line history with actual outcomes.

Where can I bet on Seth Lugo props?▾

Seth Lugo props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. Each prop page on OddsGuy shows current pricing across all 8 books so you can shop for the best number before betting.

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Copy for AI
Seth Lugo — KC P
Whiff rate: 20.9% (league avg ~25%)
Fastball velocity: 91.1 mph
Pitch mix: 53.4% fastball, 39.9% breaking, 6.7% offspeed
Outs over rate: 30% (last 10 games)
Earned runs over rate: — (last 10 games)