Zack Wheeler

Zack Wheeler Earned Runs

PHI · P

Will Zack Wheeler get more than 1.5 earned runs? He has in 40% of his last 20 starts.

Zack Wheeler earned runs line — live odds

No live line for this prop today — updated when books post.

W5

7 of his last 10 over 1.5 earned runs

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What should I know about earned runs props?

Earned runs props are sensitive to run environment, matchup strength, and leash. Use this page for the price and game-log context, then compare to tonight’s broader slate conditions.

Tonight's matchup

Zack Wheeler is not on tonight's slate.

Where are the best odds for Zack Wheeler earned runs?

No odds available right now. Check back closer to game time.

How often does he hit this number?

Over rate · last 20 games

40%

Each bar shows earned runs per start. He went over his earned runs line in 3 of 5 of these games (each game uses its own posted line).

1
Aug 30PHI@LAA
2
Aug 18MIA@PHI
4
Aug 12PHI@STL
4
Aug 7TOR@PHI
0
Aug 2PHI@BAL
OverUnder

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More on Zack Wheeler

What each sportsbook is paying

4 books have priced Zack Wheeler's earned runs over 1.5 and they do not agree. Taking MGM over BOV is worth $8.57 more profit on the same $100 bet.

Zack Wheeler Earned Runs over 1.5 — price at each sportsbook with implied probability
SportsbookOver 1.5ImpliedProfit on $100
MGMbest−12555.6%$80.00
DK−12655.8%$79.37
FAN−13056.5%$76.92
BOV−14058.3%$71.43

Every posted price above overstates the chance, because the book's margin is baked into it. Strip that out and the sharp market's own estimate is 52.3% — a fair price of −110. That is a forecast with money behind it, not our opinion, and it is the number the posted prices should be read against. How fair odds work.

Prices are the most recent we collected and move through the day. We are not affiliated with any sportsbook and there are no betting links on this page — this is a reference, not a recommendation. See every market on tonight's board.

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Related MLB research for earned runs

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the earned runs line for Zack Wheeler tonight?

The current earned runs line for Zack Wheeler (PHI) is 1.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.

How often does Zack Wheeler go over on earned runs?

Over his last 20 settled games, Zack Wheeler has gone over the earned runs line 40% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.

Where can I find the best odds for Zack Wheeler earned runs?

OddsGuy compares Zack Wheeler earned runs pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.

Is Zack Wheeler's earned runs prop worth betting?

OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual earned runs props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.

Copy for AI
Zack Wheeler Earned Runs Prop Analysis
Team: PHI | Position: P
Line: 1.5 earned runs
Hit rate: 40% over last 20 games