
CHC · C
Contact hitter with 19.2% barrel rate but .02 ISO and 0% HR rate.
Everything you need to know about Carson Kelly before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 48% of the time across 23 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
Carson Kelly is a contact-oriented hitter through 41 games with a 19.2% barrel rate, but power conversion remains minimal: a .02 ISO and 0% home-run rate mean extra-base hits are rare. His strikeout rate has ticked up to 22%, and a 21.7% whiff rate suggests increased chase tendency. With no stolen bases, his value depends entirely on batting average and gap contact rather than power or speed.
Performance summary as of week of May 25, 2026
Hits Over Rate
48%
11 of 23 games
HR Over Rate
0%
Bottom 1%0 of 3 games
TB Over Rate
50%
12 of 24 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
These are the prop bets available for Carson Kelly. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.
These are Carson Kelly's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
18.7%
Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
24.6%
Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
38.3%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
19.2%
Top 1%Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
0.0%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
.205
Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-05-31 · extended sample through 2025-09-27
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 3 of 5 times against this line.
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Sign up freeCarson Kelly (CHC) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
Over his last 23 tracked games, Carson Kelly has gone over his hits line 48% of the time, over his home-run line 0% of the time, and over his total-bases line 50% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Carson Kelly props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
Carson Kelly — CHC C Hits over rate: 48% (last 23 games) HR over rate: 0% (last 3 games) TB over rate: 50% (last 24 games) K rate: 18.7% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 24.6% (league avg ~25%) Hard-hit rate: 38.3% (league avg ~36%) Barrel rate: 19.2% (league avg ~7%) HR rate: 0% (league avg ~3%) SLG: 0.205 (league avg ~.420) Stats as of: 2026-05-31