Casey Mize

Casey Mize

SD · P

Innings-eater: 5.4 IP per start, 24.2% K rate, 26.3% whiff.

Everything you need to know about Casey Mize before you bet. His whiff rate is 11% — below league average. He throws his fastball at 92.8 mph. Compare odds across 8 sportsbooks for every prop market below.

Compared to other innings eaters

Highest IP per Start among innings eaters this season. Top 10.

#PlayerTeamIP per Start
1Logan WebbSF6.51
2Sandy AlcantaraMIA6.50
3Matthew BoydCHC6.33
4Michael WachaKC6.31
5Troy MeltonDET6.18
6Tanner BibeeCLE6.07
7Cade CavalliWSH6.00
8Logan GilbertSEA5.96
9Eduardo RodriguezAZ5.92
10Sean ManaeaNYM5.92

Casey Mize is not in the top 10 innings eaters on ip per start this season.

How is Casey Mize performing?

Casey Mize is a reliable innings-eater through 13 starts. He's averaging 5.4 innings per outing with a 24.2% strikeout rate and 26.3% whiff rate—metrics that reflect steady, workmanlike stuff without overpowering velocity. The consistency in length means he regularly gets through five-plus frames, and the strikeout rate is sufficient to keep damage contained without dominating. He's a depth starter who delivers predictable volume.

Performance summary as of week of August 3, 2026

Whiff Rate

11%

Bottom 1%

Below average

K Over Rate

30%

3 of 10 games

Fastball Velo

92.8 mph

Average

Outs Over Rate

50%

5 of 10 games

Whiff RateHow often batters swing and miss at his pitches. Higher = more strikeout upside. League average is ~25%.

K Over RateHow often he goes over his strikeout line. Shows how reliable he is for K props.

Fastball VeloAverage speed of his fastball. Harder throwers tend to generate more swings and misses.

Outs Over RateHow often he goes over his outs recorded line. Higher = he pitches deeper into games.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Casey Mize. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Keep researching Casey Mize

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

How has Casey Mize been pitching lately?

These are Casey Mize's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics that predict prop outcomes. Green values mean he's well above the league average.

Whiff Rate

11%

Bottom 1%

Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%

Chase Rate

28.4%

Chases outside zone · avg ~30%

Fastball Velo

92.8mph

Average heater speed · avg ~93.5

CSW Rate

21.8%

Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%

What pitches does Casey Mize throw?

Casey Mize's pitch mix — how often he throws each type.

Fastball
44.7%
Breaking Ball
26.6%
Offspeed
28.6%

How has Casey Mize been pitching recently?

Each bar shows strikeouts per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted strikeouts line (2.5). He went over 4 of 5 times against this line.

2.5
1
Aug 28SD@TB
3
Aug 16SD@CLE
3
Jul 25KC@DET
5
Jul 19DET@LAA
5
Jul 11PHI@DET
OverUnderLine (2.5)

Our model has analyzed Casey Mize's matchup.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are Casey Mize's prop odds tonight?

Casey Mize (SD) typically has three pitcher prop markets posted before each start: strikeouts, outs recorded, and earned runs. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best price in gold.

What is Casey Mize's pitching style?

Casey Mize throws fastballs about 44.7% of the time, breaking balls 26.6%, and offspeed pitches 28.6%. His whiff rate is 11% — below the ~25% league average. Fastball velocity sits at 92.8 mph. Called-strike-plus-whiff rate is 21.8%.

How has Casey Mize been performing recently?

Over his last 10 starts, Casey Mize has gone over his outs-recorded line 50% of the time, over his earned-runs line — of the time. Each prop page above shows the full game-by-game line history with actual outcomes.

Where can I bet on Casey Mize props?

Casey Mize props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. Each prop page on OddsGuy shows current pricing across all 8 books so you can shop for the best number before betting.

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Casey Mize — SD P
Whiff rate: 11% (league avg ~25%)
Fastball velocity: 92.8 mph
Pitch mix: 44.7% fastball, 26.6% breaking, 28.6% offspeed
Outs over rate: 50% (last 10 games)
Earned runs over rate: — (last 10 games)