Casey Mize Strikeouts
SD · P
Will Casey Mize get more than 3.5 strikeouts? He has in 30% of his last 10 starts.
Casey Mize strikeouts line — live odds
as of 1:50 PM ET| Side · 3.5 | DK | FD | MGM | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | +108 | +108 | +100 | +108FD |
| Under 3.5 | −138 | −138 | −135 | −135MGM |
4 of his last 10 over 3.5 Ks
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Strikeout props usually move with swing-and-miss ability, opponent strikeout profile, and the pitcher’s leash. Compare the market here, then check the player hub and broader strikeout context before betting.
Casey Mize is not on tonight's slate.
Where are the best odds for Casey Mize strikeouts?
Best price for more than 3.5 strikeouts: Fanatics
| Sportsbook | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +108 | -138 |
| BetOnline.ag | +109 | -141 |
| Fliff | -105 | -150 |
| ReBet | +104 | -144 |
| TheScore Bet | +105 | -140 |
| DraftKings | +108 | -138 |
| BetMGM | +100 | -135 |
| Bovada | +110 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +115 | -150 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | -135 |
How often does he hit this number?
Over rate · last 10 games
Each bar shows strikeouts per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted strikeouts line (3.5). He went over 3 of 5 times against this line.
Statcast Numbers
Whiff Rate
16%
Bottom 4%Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%
Chase Rate
30.2%
Chases outside zone · avg ~30%
CSW Rate
22.9%
Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%
Whiff Rate — How often batters swing and miss. The single best predictor of strikeout props.
Chase Rate — How often batters chase pitches outside the zone. High chase rate = more whiffs on breaking balls.
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What each sportsbook is paying
7 books have priced Casey Mize's strikeouts over 3.5 and they do not agree. Taking DK over BOV is worth $6.41 more profit on the same $100 bet.
| Sportsbook | Over 3.5 | Implied | Profit on $100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| DKbest | −120 | 54.5% | $83.33 |
| PIN | −124 | 55.4% | $80.65 |
| MGM | −125 | 55.6% | $80.00 |
| FAN | −125 | 55.6% | $80.00 |
| BOL | −127 | 55.9% | $78.74 |
| FD | −130 | 56.5% | $76.92 |
| BOV | −130 | 56.5% | $76.92 |
Every posted price above overstates the chance, because the book's margin is baked into it. Strip that out and the sharp market's own estimate is 52.2% — a fair price of −109. That is a forecast with money behind it, not our opinion, and it is the number the posted prices should be read against. How fair odds work.
Prices are the most recent we collected and move through the day. We are not affiliated with any sportsbook and there are no betting links on this page — this is a reference, not a recommendation. See every market on tonight's board.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the strikeouts line for Casey Mize tonight?▾
The current strikeouts line for Casey Mize (SD) is 3.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
How often does Casey Mize go over on strikeouts?▾
Over his last 10 settled games, Casey Mize has gone over the strikeouts line 30% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.
Where can I find the best odds for Casey Mize strikeouts?▾
OddsGuy compares Casey Mize strikeouts pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
Is Casey Mize's strikeouts prop worth betting?▾
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual strikeouts props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Casey Mize Strikeouts Prop Analysis Team: SD | Position: P Line: 3.5 strikeouts Hit rate: 30% over last 10 games Odds: FanDuel O108/U-138, BetOnline.ag O109/U-141, Fliff O-105/U-150, ReBet O104/U-144, theScore Bet O105/U-140, DraftKings O108/U-138, BetMGM O100/U-135, Bovada O110/U-145, Fanatics O115/U-150, Hard Rock Bet O105/U-135