Drake Baldwin
ATL · C
Will Drake Baldwin get more than 0.5 home runs? He has in 6% of his last 18 starts.
Home run props are high-volatility markets, so context matters. This page gives the posted line and prices; pair it with the player overview and slate-wide odds to judge whether the number is worth it.
Drake Baldwin is not on tonight's slate.
Where are the best odds for Drake Baldwin home runs?
Best price for more than 0.5 home runs: Hard Rock Bet
| Sportsbook | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Fliff | +345 | -710 |
| Hard Rock Bet (OH) | +325 | — |
| Hard Rock Bet | +375 | — |
| Caesars | +350 | — |
| TheScore Bet | +340 | -650 |
How often does he hit this number?
Over rate · last 18 games
Each bar shows home runs per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted home runs line (0.5). He went over 0 of 5 times against this line.
Statcast Numbers
The metrics that drive home runs most directly.
Barrel %
28.7%
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
Hard Hit %
57.7%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
HR Rate
7.0%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
Stats as of 2026-07-12 · extended sample through 2025-09-28
Want to know if Drake Baldwin is a bet tonight?
Sign up free. Our model tells you when the edge is real.
Sign up freeMore on Drake Baldwin
Related MLB research for home runs
Explore More
Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the home runs line for Drake Baldwin tonight?▾
The current home runs line for Drake Baldwin (ATL) is 0.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
How often does Drake Baldwin go over on home runs?▾
Over his last 18 settled games, Drake Baldwin has gone over the home runs line 6% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.
Where can I find the best odds for Drake Baldwin home runs?▾
OddsGuy compares Drake Baldwin home runs pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
Is Drake Baldwin's home runs prop worth betting?▾
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual home runs props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Drake Baldwin Home Runs Prop Analysis Team: ATL | Position: C Line: 0.5 home runs Hit rate: 6% over last 18 games Odds: Fliff O345/U-710, Hard Rock Bet (OH) O325/U-, Hard Rock Bet O375/U-, Caesars O350/U-, theScore Bet O340/U-650