Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT · RF
Low-contact bat: 35.3% K rate, 44.8% whiff, 0% SB rate.
Everything you need to know about Esmerlyn Valdez before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 25% of the time across 20 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
How is Esmerlyn Valdez performing?
Esmerlyn Valdez is a low-contact bat through 72 games. A 35.3% strikeout rate and 44.8% whiff rate are both well above league norms, indicating frequent misses and chase pitches outside the zone. With a 0% stolen-base rate, he has no speed to offset the swing-and-miss issues. The balanced label doesn't fit—this profile is contact-challenged and needs plate discipline to produce.
Performance summary as of week of October 12, 2026
Hits Over Rate
25%
5 of 20 games
HR Over Rate
6%
Bottom 1%1 of 17 games
TB Over Rate
20%
4 of 20 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
Tonight's prop markets
These are the prop bets available for Esmerlyn Valdez. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Keep researching Esmerlyn Valdez
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How has Esmerlyn Valdez been hitting?
These are Esmerlyn Valdez's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
35.3%
Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
44.8%
Bottom 1%Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
—
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
—
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
—
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
—
Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-09-11
How has Esmerlyn Valdez been hitting recently?
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 2 of 5 times against this line.
Our model has analyzed Esmerlyn Valdez's matchup.
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Sign up freeFrequently Asked Questions
What are Esmerlyn Valdez's prop odds tonight?▾
Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
How has Esmerlyn Valdez been hitting recently?▾
Over his last 20 tracked games, Esmerlyn Valdez has gone over his hits line 25% of the time, over his home-run line 6% of the time, and over his total-bases line 20% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Where can I bet on Esmerlyn Valdez props?▾
Esmerlyn Valdez props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
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Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Esmerlyn Valdez — PIT RF Hits over rate: 25% (last 20 games) HR over rate: 6% (last 17 games) TB over rate: 20% (last 20 games) K rate: 35.3% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 44.8% (league avg ~25%) Stats as of: 2026-09-11