Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT · RF
High-whiff hitter: 17.8% K rate, 31.8% whiff, 0% SB rate.
Everything you need to know about Esmerlyn Valdez before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 25% of the time across 20 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
How is Esmerlyn Valdez performing?
Esmerlyn Valdez shows modest improvement in strikeout rate—down to 17.8% through 44 games from prior levels—but remains a high-whiff profile at 31.8%. That gap between K rate and whiff rate suggests he's making more contact when he does swing, though the overall chase behavior persists. With a 0% stolen-base rate, he has no speed to offset the contact struggles. The balanced label doesn't fit; he's a low-contact bat waiting for plate discipline to click.
Performance summary as of week of August 3, 2026
Hits Over Rate
25%
5 of 20 games
HR Over Rate
6%
Bottom 1%1 of 18 games
TB Over Rate
21%
4 of 19 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
Tonight's prop markets
These are the prop bets available for Esmerlyn Valdez. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Keep researching Esmerlyn Valdez
Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.
How has Esmerlyn Valdez been hitting?
These are Esmerlyn Valdez's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
48.0%
Bottom 1%Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
39.1%
Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
—
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
—
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
—
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
—
Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-08-28
How has Esmerlyn Valdez been hitting recently?
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (1.5). He went over 1 of 5 times against this line.
Our model has analyzed Esmerlyn Valdez's matchup.
Sign up free to see tonight's best bets across all MLB markets.
Sign up freeFrequently Asked Questions
What are Esmerlyn Valdez's prop odds tonight?▾
Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
How has Esmerlyn Valdez been hitting recently?▾
Over his last 20 tracked games, Esmerlyn Valdez has gone over his hits line 25% of the time, over his home-run line 6% of the time, and over his total-bases line 21% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Where can I bet on Esmerlyn Valdez props?▾
Esmerlyn Valdez props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
Explore More
Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Esmerlyn Valdez — PIT RF Hits over rate: 25% (last 20 games) HR over rate: 6% (last 18 games) TB over rate: 21% (last 19 games) K rate: 48% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 39.1% (league avg ~25%) Stats as of: 2026-08-28