Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD · RF
Elite barrel rate (22.5%) but power output lags: .123 ISO, 12.3% HR rate.
Everything you need to know about Fernando Tatis Jr. before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 31% of the time across 16 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
Compared to other power hitters
Highest Barrel Rate among power hitters this season. Top 10.
| # | Player | Team | Barrel Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | LAA | 50.0% |
| 2 | Colton Cowser | BAL | 41.7% |
| 3 | Billy Cook | PIT | 39.8% |
| 4 | Aaron Judge | NYY | 39.2% |
| 5 | Adrian Del Castillo | AZ | 37.5% |
| 6 | Dominic Canzone | SEA | 36.5% |
| 7 | Wyatt Langford | TEX | 35.0% |
| 8 | Pete Alonso | BAL | 34.2% |
| 9 | James Wood | WSH | 34.2% |
| 10 | Spencer Torkelson | DET | 33.3% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. is not in the top 10 power hitters on barrel rate this season.
How is Fernando Tatis Jr. performing?
Fernando Tatis Jr. remains a power-first profile through 168 games, but with a notable gap between contact quality and power output. His 22.5% barrel rate is elite, yet a .123 ISO and 12.3% home-run rate lag the archetype standard. A 25.6% whiff rate is the primary drag—swing-and-miss limits barrel-to-extra-base conversion. A 23% strikeout rate adds friction, and a 2.9% stolen-base rate means offensive value hinges almost entirely on hard-contact translation.
Performance summary as of week of October 12, 2026
Hits Over Rate
31%
5 of 16 games
HR Over Rate
25%
Bottom 1%4 of 16 games
TB Over Rate
47%
8 of 17 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
Tonight's prop markets
These are the prop bets available for Fernando Tatis Jr.. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Keep researching Fernando Tatis Jr.
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How has Fernando Tatis Jr. been hitting?
These are Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
23.0%
Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
25.6%
Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
50.0%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
22.5%
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
12.3%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
.783
Top 1%Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-10-07 · extended sample through 2025-09-28
How has Fernando Tatis Jr. been hitting recently?
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 4 of 5 times against this line.
Our model has analyzed Fernando Tatis Jr.'s matchup.
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Sign up freeFrequently Asked Questions
What are Fernando Tatis Jr.'s prop odds tonight?▾
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
How has Fernando Tatis Jr. been hitting recently?▾
Over his last 16 tracked games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over his hits line 31% of the time, over his home-run line 25% of the time, and over his total-bases line 47% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Where can I bet on Fernando Tatis Jr. props?▾
Fernando Tatis Jr. props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
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Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Fernando Tatis Jr. — SD RF Hits over rate: 31% (last 16 games) HR over rate: 25% (last 16 games) TB over rate: 47% (last 17 games) K rate: 23% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 25.6% (league avg ~25%) Hard-hit rate: 50% (league avg ~36%) Barrel rate: 22.5% (league avg ~7%) HR rate: 12.3% (league avg ~3%) SLG: 0.783 (league avg ~.420) Stats as of: 2026-10-07