Garrett Mitchell

Garrett Mitchell Home Runs

MIL · CF

Will Garrett Mitchell get more than 0.5 home runs? He has in 16% of his last 19 starts.

Garrett Mitchell home runs line — live odds

as of 6:45 PM ET
Side · 0.5DKFDMGMBest
Over 0.5+600PIN
Under 0.5−1268PIN

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What should I know about home runs props?

Home run props are high-volatility markets, so context matters. This page gives the posted line and prices; pair it with the player overview and slate-wide odds to judge whether the number is worth it.

Tonight's matchup
MIL vs. TEX · Texas Rangers (home) · facing Cal Quantrill
7:15 PM EDT

Where are the best odds for Garrett Mitchell home runs?

Best price for more than 0.5 home runs: BetPARX

SportsbookOver 0.5Under 0.5
Fliff+530-1375
TheScore Bet+550-1200
Hard Rock Bet+650
Caesars+450
BetRivers+650
BetPARX+700-1430
Bally Bet+650

How often does he hit this number?

Over rate · last 19 games

16%

Each bar shows home runs per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted home runs line (0.5). He went over 1 of 5 times against this line.

0.5
0
Aug 28TEX@MIL
0
Aug 23ATL@MIL
1
Aug 20SEA@MIL
0
Aug 4PIT@MIL
0
Aug 3PIT@MIL
OverUnderLine (0.5)

Statcast Numbers

The metrics that drive home runs most directly.

Barrel %

26.9%

Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%

Hard Hit %

50.0%

Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%

HR Rate

0.0%

Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%

Stats as of 2026-08-26 · extended sample through 2025-04-25

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More on Garrett Mitchell

Every home run prop on tonight's board
Compare Garrett Mitchell against the rest of the slate — fair prices beside each hitter's actual home-run rate.

What each sportsbook is paying

2 books have priced Garrett Mitchell's home runs over 0.5 and they do not agree. Taking BR over PIN is worth $50 more profit on the same $100 bet.

Garrett Mitchell Home Runs over 0.5 — price at each sportsbook with implied probability
SportsbookOver 0.5ImpliedProfit on $100
BRbest+65013.3%$650.00
PIN+60014.3%$600.00

Every posted price above overstates the chance, because the book's margin is baked into it. Strip that out and the sharp market's own estimate is 13.4% — a fair price of +649. That is a forecast with money behind it, not our opinion, and it is the number the posted prices should be read against. How fair odds work.

Prices are the most recent we collected and move through the day. We are not affiliated with any sportsbook and there are no betting links on this page — this is a reference, not a recommendation. See every market on tonight's board.

Price this bet

Related MLB research for home runs

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the home runs line for Garrett Mitchell tonight?

The current home runs line for Garrett Mitchell (MIL) is 0.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.

How often does Garrett Mitchell go over on home runs?

Over his last 19 settled games, Garrett Mitchell has gone over the home runs line 16% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.

Where can I find the best odds for Garrett Mitchell home runs?

OddsGuy compares Garrett Mitchell home runs pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.

Is Garrett Mitchell's home runs prop worth betting?

OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual home runs props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.

Copy for AI
Garrett Mitchell Home Runs Prop Analysis
Team: MIL | Position: CF
Line: 0.5 home runs
Hit rate: 16% over last 19 games
Odds: Fliff O530/U-1375, theScore Bet O550/U-1200, Hard Rock Bet O650/U-, Caesars O450/U-, BetRivers O650/U-, betPARX O700/U-1430, Bally Bet O650/U-