Jonathan Aranda
TB · 1B
Will Jonathan Aranda get more than 0.5 home runs? He has in 15% of his last 20 starts.
Home run props are high-volatility markets, so context matters. This page gives the posted line and prices; pair it with the player overview and slate-wide odds to judge whether the number is worth it.
Jonathan Aranda is not on tonight's slate.
Where are the best odds for Jonathan Aranda home runs?
Best price for more than 0.5 home runs: BetPARX
| Sportsbook | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Fliff | +545 | -1450 |
| Caesars | +525 | — |
| Bally Bet | +575 | — |
| BetRivers | +600 | — |
| BetPARX | +650 | -1250 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +650 | — |
How often does he hit this number?
Over rate · last 20 games
Each bar shows home runs per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted home runs line (0.5). He went over 1 of 5 times against this line.
Statcast Numbers
The metrics that drive home runs most directly.
Barrel %
28.3%
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
Hard Hit %
48.3%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
HR Rate
7.8%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
Stats as of 2026-07-12 · extended sample through 2025-09-28
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the home runs line for Jonathan Aranda tonight?▾
The current home runs line for Jonathan Aranda (TB) is 0.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
How often does Jonathan Aranda go over on home runs?▾
Over his last 20 settled games, Jonathan Aranda has gone over the home runs line 15% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.
Where can I find the best odds for Jonathan Aranda home runs?▾
OddsGuy compares Jonathan Aranda home runs pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
Is Jonathan Aranda's home runs prop worth betting?▾
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual home runs props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Jonathan Aranda Home Runs Prop Analysis Team: TB | Position: 1B Line: 0.5 home runs Hit rate: 15% over last 20 games Odds: Fliff O545/U-1450, Caesars O525/U-, Bally Bet O575/U-, BetRivers O600/U-, betPARX O650/U-1250, Hard Rock Bet O650/U-