Matt Shaw

CHC · RF

Contact hitter with 25% barrel rate but only .125 ISO and 5% HR rate.

Everything you need to know about Matt Shaw before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 25% of the time across 20 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.

Compared to other power hitters

Highest Barrel Rate among power hitters this season. Top 10.

#	Player	Team	Barrel Rate
1	Mike Trout	LAA	50.0%
2	Colton Cowser	BAL	41.7%
3	Billy Cook	PIT	39.8%
4	Aaron Judge	NYY	39.2%
5	Adrian Del Castillo	AZ	37.5%
6	Dominic Canzone	SEA	36.5%
7	Wyatt Langford	TEX	35.0%
8	Pete Alonso	BAL	34.2%
9	James Wood	WSH	34.2%
10	Spencer Torkelson	DET	33.3%

Matt Shaw is not in the top 10 power hitters on barrel rate this season.

How is Matt Shaw performing?

Matt Shaw is a contact-oriented power hitter through 75 games with a notable disconnect between barrel quality and power output. His 25% barrel rate is solid, but a 5% home-run rate and .125 ISO reveal a conversion problem—he's making quality contact without sufficient exit velocity or launch angle to drive it for distance. A 15.8% strikeout rate and 19.6% whiff rate are moderate, but the real issue is translating barrels into slugging.

Performance summary as of week of October 12, 2026

Hits Over Rate

25%

5 of 20 games

HR Over Rate

20%

Bottom 1%

1 of 5 games

TB Over Rate

26%

5 of 19 games

Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.

HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.

TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Matt Shaw. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Home Runs

Over rate

20%

5 games

›Hits

Hits

Over rate

25%

20 games

›Total Bases

Total Bases

Over rate

26%

19 games

›

Keep researching Matt Shaw

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

Tonight's player props, every market

Fair probability beside each posted line, and the dollar gap where two sportsbooks price the same bet differently.

Tonight's home run props

Every hitter's fair probability beside how often he actually clears the line this season.

What a price pays on your stake

Any American, decimal or fractional price, converted and costed. Works without a live board.

Tonight’s hitter prop board

Compare the live prices posted across books.

Tonight’s MLB card

See which MLB spots stand out on the slate right now.

League home run leaders

Compare this hitter to the game’s top power bats.

Hits prop page

Review line movement and recent hit-rate context.

Home run prop page

See long-ball pricing, books, and recent outcomes.

Total bases prop page

Check multi-hit and power-driven prop context.

How has Matt Shaw been hitting?

These are Matt Shaw's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.

K Rate

15.8%

Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%

Whiff %

19.6%

Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%

Hard Hit %

39.8%

Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%

Barrel %

25.0%

Top 1%

Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%

HR Rate

5.0%

Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%

SLG

.517

Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420

Stats as of 2026-09-30 · extended sample through 2025-09-27

How has Matt Shaw been hitting recently?

Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (2.5). He went over 0 of 5 times against this line.

2.5

Sep 25CHC@BOS

Sep 19CHC@CIN

Sep 15ATL@CHC

Sep 8CHC@MIL

Sep 7CHC@MIL

OverUnderLine (2.5)

Our model has analyzed Matt Shaw's matchup.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Matt Shaw's prop odds tonight?▾

Matt Shaw (CHC) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.

How has Matt Shaw been hitting recently?▾

Over his last 20 tracked games, Matt Shaw has gone over his hits line 25% of the time, over his home-run line 20% of the time, and over his total-bases line 26% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.

Where can I bet on Matt Shaw props?▾

Matt Shaw props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.

Explore More

Tonight's Games

Probable Pitchers Lineups Odds Picks

Stats & Leaderboards

Strikeout Leaders Home Run Leaders ERA Leaders Whiff Rate

Copy for AI

Matt Shaw — CHC RF
Hits over rate: 25% (last 20 games)
HR over rate: 20% (last 5 games)
TB over rate: 26% (last 19 games)
K rate: 15.8% (league avg ~22%)
Whiff rate: 19.6% (league avg ~25%)
Hard-hit rate: 39.8% (league avg ~36%)
Barrel rate: 25% (league avg ~7%)
HR rate: 5% (league avg ~3%)
SLG: 0.517 (league avg ~.420)
Stats as of: 2026-09-30