Merrill Kelly
AZ · P
Contact pitcher: 15.1% K rate, 22.4% whiff, 5.7 IP/start.
Everything you need to know about Merrill Kelly before you bet. His whiff rate is 23% — right around league average. He throws his fastball at 91.7 mph. Compare odds across 8 sportsbooks for every prop market below.
Compared to other innings eaters
Highest IP per Start among innings eaters this season. Top 10.
| # | Player | Team | IP per Start |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Logan Webb | SF | 6.51 |
| 2 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | 6.50 |
| 3 | Matthew Boyd | CHC | 6.33 |
| 4 | Michael Wacha | KC | 6.31 |
| 5 | Troy Melton | DET | 6.18 |
| 6 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | 6.07 |
| 7 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | 5.96 |
| 8 | Eduardo Rodriguez | AZ | 5.92 |
| 9 | Sean Manaea | NYM | 5.92 |
| 10 | Clay Holmes | CHC | 5.88 |
Merrill Kelly is not in the top 10 innings eaters on ip per start this season.
How is Merrill Kelly performing?
Merrill Kelly is a contact-management innings-eater through 12 starts. He's averaging 5.7 innings per start with a 15.1% strikeout rate and 22.4% whiff rate, relying on pitch sequencing and contact control rather than overpowering velocity. The profile prioritizes durability and consistency—a pitcher who works deep into games by keeping hitters off-balance rather than inducing swings and misses.
Performance summary as of week of August 3, 2026
Whiff Rate
23%
Below average
K Over Rate
40%
4 of 10 games
Fastball Velo
91.7 mph
Average
Outs Over Rate
30%
Bottom 2%3 of 10 games
Whiff Rate — How often batters swing and miss at his pitches. Higher = more strikeout upside. League average is ~25%.
K Over Rate — How often he goes over his strikeout line. Shows how reliable he is for K props.
Fastball Velo — Average speed of his fastball. Harder throwers tend to generate more swings and misses.
Outs Over Rate — How often he goes over his outs recorded line. Higher = he pitches deeper into games.
Tonight's prop markets
These are the prop bets available for Merrill Kelly. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Keep researching Merrill Kelly
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How has Merrill Kelly been pitching lately?
These are Merrill Kelly's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics that predict prop outcomes. Green values mean he's well above the league average.
Whiff Rate
23%
Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%
Chase Rate
32.9%
Chases outside zone · avg ~30%
Fastball Velo
91.7mph
Average heater speed · avg ~93.5
CSW Rate
23%
Bottom 5%Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%
What pitches does Merrill Kelly throw?
Merrill Kelly's pitch mix — how often he throws each type.
How has Merrill Kelly been pitching recently?
Each bar shows strikeouts per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted strikeouts line (4.5). He went over 3 of 5 times against this line.
Our model has analyzed Merrill Kelly's matchup.
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Sign up freeFrequently Asked Questions
What are Merrill Kelly's prop odds tonight?▾
Merrill Kelly (AZ) typically has three pitcher prop markets posted before each start: strikeouts, outs recorded, and earned runs. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best price in gold.
What is Merrill Kelly's pitching style?▾
Merrill Kelly throws fastballs about 52.2% of the time, breaking balls 18.1%, and offspeed pitches 28.4%. His whiff rate is 23% — close to the ~25% league average. Fastball velocity sits at 91.7 mph. Called-strike-plus-whiff rate is 23%.
How has Merrill Kelly been performing recently?▾
Over his last 10 starts, Merrill Kelly has gone over his outs-recorded line 30% of the time, over his earned-runs line — of the time. Each prop page above shows the full game-by-game line history with actual outcomes.
Where can I bet on Merrill Kelly props?▾
Merrill Kelly props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. Each prop page on OddsGuy shows current pricing across all 8 books so you can shop for the best number before betting.
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Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Merrill Kelly — AZ P Whiff rate: 23% (league avg ~25%) Fastball velocity: 91.7 mph Pitch mix: 52.2% fastball, 18.1% breaking, 28.4% offspeed Outs over rate: 30% (last 10 games) Earned runs over rate: — (last 10 games)