Merrill Kelly
AZ · P
Will Merrill Kelly get more than 3.5 strikeouts? He has in 33% of his last 6 starts.
Strikeout props usually move with swing-and-miss ability, opponent strikeout profile, and the pitcher’s leash. Compare the market here, then check the player hub and broader strikeout context before betting.
Merrill Kelly is not on tonight's slate.
Where are the best odds for Merrill Kelly strikeouts?
How often does he hit this number?
Over rate · last 6 games
Each bar shows strikeouts per start. He went over his strikeouts line in 2 of 5 of these games (each game uses its own posted line).
Statcast Numbers
Whiff Rate
22.4%
Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%
Chase Rate
35.9%
Top 7%Chases outside zone · avg ~30%
CSW Rate
26.2%
Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%
Whiff Rate — How often batters swing and miss. The single best predictor of strikeout props.
Chase Rate — How often batters chase pitches outside the zone. High chase rate = more whiffs on breaking balls.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the strikeouts line for Merrill Kelly tonight?▾
The current strikeouts line for Merrill Kelly (AZ) is 3.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
How often does Merrill Kelly go over on strikeouts?▾
Over his last 6 settled games, Merrill Kelly has gone over the strikeouts line 33% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.
Where can I find the best odds for Merrill Kelly strikeouts?▾
OddsGuy compares Merrill Kelly strikeouts pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
Is Merrill Kelly's strikeouts prop worth betting?▾
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual strikeouts props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Merrill Kelly Strikeouts Prop Analysis Team: AZ | Position: P Line: 3.5 strikeouts Hit rate: 33% over last 6 games