Merrill Kelly Strikeouts
AZ · P
Will Merrill Kelly get more than 4.5 strikeouts? He has in 40% of his last 10 starts.
Merrill Kelly strikeouts line — live odds
No live line for this prop today — updated when books post.
4 of his last 10 over the posted line
The morning board, in your inbox
Top +EV rows, biggest line movers, and hot streaks — one email before first pitch. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.
Strikeout props usually move with swing-and-miss ability, opponent strikeout profile, and the pitcher’s leash. Compare the market here, then check the player hub and broader strikeout context before betting.
Merrill Kelly is not on tonight's slate.
Where are the best odds for Merrill Kelly strikeouts?
How often does he hit this number?
Over rate · last 10 games
Each bar shows strikeouts per start. He went over his strikeouts line in 3 of 5 of these games (each game uses its own posted line).
Statcast Numbers
Whiff Rate
23%
Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%
Chase Rate
32.9%
Chases outside zone · avg ~30%
CSW Rate
23%
Bottom 5%Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%
Whiff Rate — How often batters swing and miss. The single best predictor of strikeout props.
Chase Rate — How often batters chase pitches outside the zone. High chase rate = more whiffs on breaking balls.
Want to know if Merrill Kelly is a bet tonight?
Sign up free. Our model tells you when the edge is real.
Sign up freeMore on Merrill Kelly
Price this bet
Related MLB research for strikeouts
Explore More
Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the strikeouts line for Merrill Kelly tonight?▾
The current strikeouts line for Merrill Kelly (AZ) is 4.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
How often does Merrill Kelly go over on strikeouts?▾
Over his last 10 settled games, Merrill Kelly has gone over the strikeouts line 40% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.
Where can I find the best odds for Merrill Kelly strikeouts?▾
OddsGuy compares Merrill Kelly strikeouts pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
Is Merrill Kelly's strikeouts prop worth betting?▾
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual strikeouts props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Merrill Kelly Strikeouts Prop Analysis Team: AZ | Position: P Line: 4.5 strikeouts Hit rate: 40% over last 10 games