Miguel Vargas Home Runs
CWS · 3B
Will Miguel Vargas get more than 0.5 home runs? He has in 20% of his last 20 starts.
Miguel Vargas home runs line — live odds
No live line for this prop today — updated when books post.
2 of his last 10 over the posted line
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Home run props are high-volatility markets, so context matters. This page gives the posted line and prices; pair it with the player overview and slate-wide odds to judge whether the number is worth it.
Where are the best odds for Miguel Vargas home runs?
Best price for more than 0.5 home runs: Hard Rock Bet
| Sportsbook | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Fliff | +915 | -11950 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1750 | — |
| TheScore Bet | +1200 | -4000 |
| Caesars | +1300 | — |
How often does he hit this number?
Over rate · last 20 games
Each bar shows home runs per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted home runs line (0.5). He went over 0 of 5 times against this line.
Statcast Numbers
The metrics that drive home runs most directly.
Barrel %
25.8%
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
Hard Hit %
45.0%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
HR Rate
3.3%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
Stats as of 2026-08-29 · extended sample through 2025-09-28
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the home runs line for Miguel Vargas tonight?▾
The current home runs line for Miguel Vargas (CWS) is 0.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
How often does Miguel Vargas go over on home runs?▾
Over his last 20 settled games, Miguel Vargas has gone over the home runs line 20% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.
Where can I find the best odds for Miguel Vargas home runs?▾
OddsGuy compares Miguel Vargas home runs pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
Is Miguel Vargas's home runs prop worth betting?▾
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual home runs props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Miguel Vargas Home Runs Prop Analysis Team: CWS | Position: 3B Line: 0.5 home runs Hit rate: 20% over last 20 games Odds: Fliff O915/U-11950, Hard Rock Bet O1750/U-, theScore Bet O1200/U-4000, Caesars O1300/U-