Nathan Church

Nathan Church

STL · CF

Contact bat with no power: 15.3% K rate, .0333 ISO, 0% HR.

Everything you need to know about Nathan Church before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 45% of the time across 20 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.

Compared to other contact hitters

Lowest K Rate among contact hitters this season. Top 10.

#PlayerTeamK Rate
1Keibert RuizWSH0.0%
2Paul GoldschmidtNYY2.5%
3Luis ArraezPHI4.5%
4Nico HoernerCHC4.5%
5Andrew KniznerSF5.0%
6Josh RojasKC5.0%
7Steven KwanCLE6.2%
8Jung Hoo LeeSF6.5%
9Miguel AndujarSD6.7%
10Gavin SheetsSD7.0%

Nathan Church is not in the top 10 contact hitters on k rate this season.

How is Nathan Church performing?

Nathan Church is a pure contact hitter through 134 games with a 15.3% strikeout rate and 21% whiff rate, both well below league typical. His .0333 ISO and 0% home-run rate confirm a gap-oriented approach with no power output. A 0.84% stolen-base rate adds minimal value on the basepaths. The profile lives on high contact rates translating to runs, but the lack of power and modest speed limit offensive ceiling.

Performance summary as of week of October 12, 2026

Hits Over Rate

45%

9 of 20 games

HR Over Rate

0%

Bottom 1%

0 of 2 games

TB Over Rate

40%

8 of 20 games

Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.

HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.

TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Nathan Church. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Home Runs

Home Runs

Over rate

0%

2 games

›Hits

Hits

Over rate

45%

20 games

›Total Bases

Total Bases

Over rate

40%

20 games

›

Keep researching Nathan Church

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

Tonight's player props, every market
Fair probability beside each posted line, and the dollar gap where two sportsbooks price the same bet differently.
Tonight's home run props
Every hitter's fair probability beside how often he actually clears the line this season.
What a price pays on your stake
Any American, decimal or fractional price, converted and costed. Works without a live board.
Tonight’s hitter prop board
Compare the live prices posted across books.
Tonight’s MLB card
See which MLB spots stand out on the slate right now.
League home run leaders
Compare this hitter to the game’s top power bats.
Hits prop page
Review line movement and recent hit-rate context.
Home run prop page
See long-ball pricing, books, and recent outcomes.
Total bases prop page
Check multi-hit and power-driven prop context.

How has Nathan Church been hitting?

These are Nathan Church's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.

K Rate

15.3%

Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%

Whiff %

21.0%

Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%

Hard Hit %

48.1%

Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%

Barrel %

0.0%

Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%

HR Rate

0.0%

Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%

SLG

.233

Bottom 1%

Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420

Stats as of 2026-09-27 · extended sample through 2025-09-28

How has Nathan Church been hitting recently?

Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 1 of 5 times against this line.

0.5
0
Sep 27STL@MIL
0
Sep 26STL@MIL
0
Sep 25STL@MIL
1
Sep 24STL@PIT
0
Sep 23STL@PIT
OverUnderLine (0.5)

Our model has analyzed Nathan Church's matchup.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are Nathan Church's prop odds tonight?▾

Nathan Church (STL) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.

How has Nathan Church been hitting recently?▾

Over his last 20 tracked games, Nathan Church has gone over his hits line 45% of the time, over his home-run line 0% of the time, and over his total-bases line 40% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.

Where can I bet on Nathan Church props?▾

Nathan Church props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.

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Tonight's Games

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Stats & Leaderboards

Strikeout LeadersHome Run LeadersERA LeadersWhiff Rate
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Nathan Church — STL CF
Hits over rate: 45% (last 20 games)
HR over rate: 0% (last 2 games)
TB over rate: 40% (last 20 games)
K rate: 15.3% (league avg ~22%)
Whiff rate: 21% (league avg ~25%)
Hard-hit rate: 48.1% (league avg ~36%)
Barrel rate: 0% (league avg ~7%)
HR rate: 0% (league avg ~3%)
SLG: 0.233 (league avg ~.420)
Stats as of: 2026-09-27