Nolan Arenado
AZ · 3B
Contact hitter struggling: 31.8% K rate, 34.3% whiff, .085 ISO.
Everything you need to know about Nolan Arenado before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 35% of the time across 23 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
How is Nolan Arenado performing?
Nolan Arenado remains a contact-oriented hitter through 94 games, but the strikeout rate has climbed to 31.8% and whiff rate sits at 34.3%, both well above his typical profile. His 11.7% barrel rate and .085 ISO continue to reflect limited power—a 2% home-run rate underscores that trend. Zero stolen bases mean he's entirely dependent on batting average and on-base consistency to drive value. The shift toward more swing-and-miss is a notable departure from his reputation.
Performance summary as of week of July 13, 2026
Hits Over Rate
35%
8 of 23 games
HR Over Rate
0%
Bottom 1%0 of 5 games
TB Over Rate
26%
6 of 23 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
Tonight's prop markets
These are the prop bets available for Nolan Arenado. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Keep researching Nolan Arenado
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How has Nolan Arenado been hitting?
These are Nolan Arenado's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
31.8%
Bottom 5%Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
34.3%
Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
28.3%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
11.7%
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
2.0%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
.330
Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-07-12 · extended sample through 2025-09-27
How has Nolan Arenado been hitting recently?
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 4 of 5 times against this line.
Our model has analyzed Nolan Arenado's matchup.
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What are Nolan Arenado's prop odds tonight?▾
Nolan Arenado (AZ) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
How has Nolan Arenado been hitting recently?▾
Over his last 23 tracked games, Nolan Arenado has gone over his hits line 35% of the time, over his home-run line 0% of the time, and over his total-bases line 26% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Where can I bet on Nolan Arenado props?▾
Nolan Arenado props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
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Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Nolan Arenado — AZ 3B Hits over rate: 35% (last 23 games) HR over rate: 0% (last 5 games) TB over rate: 26% (last 23 games) K rate: 31.8% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 34.3% (league avg ~25%) Hard-hit rate: 28.3% (league avg ~36%) Barrel rate: 11.7% (league avg ~7%) HR rate: 2% (league avg ~3%) SLG: 0.330 (league avg ~.420) Stats as of: 2026-07-12