
AZ · 3B
Balanced profile underperforming: 11.67% barrel, .085 ISO, 2% HR rate.
Everything you need to know about Nolan Arenado before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 43% of the time across 21 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
Nolan Arenado is a balanced hitter operating below his career power standard through 156 games. A 16% strikeout rate and 28.4% whiff rate indicate inconsistency at the plate, while an 11.67% barrel rate and .085 ISO reflect minimal power output. His 2% home-run rate and zero stolen bases mean he's reliant on batting average and on-base percentage for offensive value—a narrower offensive path than his historical production.
Performance summary as of week of October 12, 2026
Hits Over Rate
43%
9 of 21 games
HR Over Rate
38%
6 of 16 games
TB Over Rate
35%
Bottom 7%7 of 20 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
These are the prop bets available for Nolan Arenado. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.
These are Nolan Arenado's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
16.0%
Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
28.4%
Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
28.3%
Bottom 10%Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
11.7%
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
2.0%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
.330
Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-09-27 · extended sample through 2025-09-27
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 5 of 5 times against this line.
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Sign up freeNolan Arenado (AZ) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
Over his last 21 tracked games, Nolan Arenado has gone over his hits line 43% of the time, over his home-run line 38% of the time, and over his total-bases line 35% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Nolan Arenado props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
Nolan Arenado — AZ 3B Hits over rate: 43% (last 21 games) HR over rate: 38% (last 16 games) TB over rate: 35% (last 20 games) K rate: 16% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 28.4% (league avg ~25%) Hard-hit rate: 28.3% (league avg ~36%) Barrel rate: 11.7% (league avg ~7%) HR rate: 2% (league avg ~3%) SLG: 0.330 (league avg ~.420) Stats as of: 2026-09-27