
BOS · P
Will Payton Tolle get more than 17.5 outs recorded? He has in 50% of his last 10 starts.
| Side · 17.5 | DK | FD | MGM | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 | −135 | −130 | −125 | −125MGM |
| Under 17.5 | +102 | −102 | −110 | +102DK |
5 of his last 10 over 17.5 outs
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Outs recorded props are usually driven by leash, efficiency, and matchup quality. This page gives the line history and recent game context, while the player hub helps with broader workload signals.
Payton Tolle is not on tonight's slate.
Best price for more than 17.5 outs recorded: Bovada
| Sportsbook | Over 17.5 | Under 17.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -144 | +108 |
| Fliff | -155 | -105 |
| BetOnline.ag | -140 | +100 |
| Fanatics | -140 | +100 |
| Bovada | -130 | -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -135 | +105 |
| BetMGM | -140 | +105 |
| Caesars | -139 | +105 |
| TheScore Bet | -140 | +100 |
| DraftKings | -145 | +109 |
| Bally Bet | -139 | — |
| BetPARX | -141 | +104 |
| BetRivers | -141 | — |
Over rate · last 10 games
Each bar shows outs recorded per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted outs recorded line (17.5). He went over 2 of 5 times against this line.
Whiff Rate
29.4%
Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%
Chase Rate
39.6%
Top 1%Chases outside zone · avg ~30%
CSW Rate
29.7%
Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%
Outs Over Rate — How often he goes over his outs line. Higher = he consistently pitches deep.
CSW Rate — Called strikes + whiffs per pitch. Measures overall ability to get favorable counts.
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Sign up free8 books have priced Payton Tolle's outs recorded over 17.5 and they do not agree. Taking DK over PIN is worth $10 more profit on the same $100 bet.
| Sportsbook | Over 17.5 | Implied | Profit on $100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| DKbest | −125 | 55.6% | $80.00 |
| FD | −130 | 56.5% | $76.92 |
| BOV | −130 | 56.5% | $76.92 |
| BR | −136 | 57.6% | $73.53 |
| MGM | −140 | 58.3% | $71.43 |
| BOL | −140 | 58.3% | $71.43 |
| FAN | −140 | 58.3% | $71.43 |
| PIN | −143 | 58.8% | $69.93 |
Every posted price above overstates the chance, because the book's margin is baked into it. Strip that out and the sharp market's own estimate is 55.0% — a fair price of −122. That is a forecast with money behind it, not our opinion, and it is the number the posted prices should be read against. How fair odds work.
Prices are the most recent we collected and move through the day. We are not affiliated with any sportsbook and there are no betting links on this page — this is a reference, not a recommendation. See every market on tonight's board.
The current outs recorded line for Payton Tolle (BOS) is 17.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
Over his last 10 settled games, Payton Tolle has gone over the outs recorded line 50% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.
OddsGuy compares Payton Tolle outs recorded pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual outs recorded props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Payton Tolle Outs Recorded Prop Analysis Team: BOS | Position: P Line: 17.5 outs recorded Hit rate: 50% over last 10 games Odds: FanDuel O-144/U108, Fliff O-155/U-105, BetOnline.ag O-140/U100, Fanatics O-140/U100, Bovada O-130/U-110, Hard Rock Bet O-135/U105, BetMGM O-140/U105, Caesars O-139/U105, theScore Bet O-140/U100, DraftKings O-145/U109, Bally Bet O-139/U-, betPARX O-141/U104, BetRivers O-141/U-