Payton Tolle Strikeouts
BOS · P
Will Payton Tolle get more than 6.5 strikeouts? He has in 60% of his last 10 starts.
Payton Tolle strikeouts line — live odds
as of 5:05 PM ET| Side · 6.5 | DK | FD | MGM | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | −115 | −113 | −120 | +107PIN |
| Under 6.5 | −111 | −113 | −110 | −110MGM |
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Strikeout props usually move with swing-and-miss ability, opponent strikeout profile, and the pitcher’s leash. Compare the market here, then check the player hub and broader strikeout context before betting.
Payton Tolle is not on tonight's slate.
Where are the best odds for Payton Tolle strikeouts?
How often does he hit this number?
Over rate · last 10 games
Each bar shows strikeouts per start. He went over his strikeouts line in 3 of 5 of these games (each game uses its own posted line).
Statcast Numbers
Whiff Rate
29.4%
Swing-and-miss rate · avg ~25%
Chase Rate
39.6%
Top 1%Chases outside zone · avg ~30%
CSW Rate
29.7%
Called strikes + whiffs · avg ~28%
Whiff Rate — How often batters swing and miss. The single best predictor of strikeout props.
Chase Rate — How often batters chase pitches outside the zone. High chase rate = more whiffs on breaking balls.
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What each sportsbook is paying
7 books have priced Payton Tolle's strikeouts over 6.5 and they do not agree. Taking PIN over MGM is worth $11 more profit on the same $100 bet.
| Sportsbook | Over 6.5 | Implied | Profit on $100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| PINbest | −106 | 51.5% | $94.34 |
| BOL | −108 | 51.9% | $92.59 |
| DK | −115 | 53.5% | $86.96 |
| FD | −115 | 53.5% | $86.96 |
| BOV | −115 | 53.5% | $86.96 |
| BR | −117 | 53.9% | $85.47 |
| MGM | −120 | 54.5% | $83.33 |
Every posted price above overstates the chance, because the book's margin is baked into it. Strip that out and the sharp market's own estimate is 48.1% — a fair price of +108. That is a forecast with money behind it, not our opinion, and it is the number the posted prices should be read against. How fair odds work.
Prices are the most recent we collected and move through the day. We are not affiliated with any sportsbook and there are no betting links on this page — this is a reference, not a recommendation. See every market on tonight's board.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the strikeouts line for Payton Tolle tonight?▾
The current strikeouts line for Payton Tolle (BOS) is 6.5. The odds table above lists the over and under price at every sportsbook that's posted this prop and highlights the best available price in gold so you can shop the line.
How often does Payton Tolle go over on strikeouts?▾
Over his last 10 settled games, Payton Tolle has gone over the strikeouts line 60% of the time. The hit-rate chart above plots each game's actual stat against the posted line so you can see whether the recent trend is supporting an over or an under play.
Where can I find the best odds for Payton Tolle strikeouts?▾
OddsGuy compares Payton Tolle strikeouts pricing across 8 sportsbooks: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Pinnacle, and Bovada. The odds table above highlights the best available price in gold. On the same line, even a small price difference (e.g. -110 vs -105) compounds meaningfully over many bets, so always shop the line before placing it.
Is Payton Tolle's strikeouts prop worth betting?▾
OddsGuy doesn't issue an official rating on individual strikeouts props — that's what the live scanner inside the dashboard does. Use the line, the hit-rate trend, and the multi-book pricing on this page to do your own research, then check /dashboard/scanner (Pro) for the engine's promoted plays for tonight.
Payton Tolle Strikeouts Prop Analysis Team: BOS | Position: P Line: 6.5 strikeouts Hit rate: 60% over last 10 games