Willson Contreras
BOS · 1B
Struggling profile: 36.83% K rate, .050 ISO, 2.5% HR rate.
Everything you need to know about Willson Contreras before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 40% of the time across 20 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
How is Willson Contreras performing?
Willson Contreras has struggled through 135 games as a balanced hitter. A 36.83% strikeout rate and 36.01% whiff rate signal timing problems, while a 5% barrel rate and .050 ISO show minimal power. His 2.5% home-run rate and zero stolen bases leave little room for error; offensive value hinges almost entirely on batting average, a narrow foundation for a catcher.
Performance summary as of week of October 12, 2026
Hits Over Rate
40%
8 of 20 games
HR Over Rate
17%
Bottom 1%3 of 18 games
TB Over Rate
39%
7 of 18 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
Tonight's prop markets
These are the prop bets available for Willson Contreras. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Keep researching Willson Contreras
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How has Willson Contreras been hitting?
These are Willson Contreras's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
36.8%
Bottom 1%Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
36.0%
Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
39.2%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
5.0%
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
2.5%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
.383
Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-09-30 · extended sample through 2025-09-15
How has Willson Contreras been hitting recently?
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 1 of 5 times against this line.
Our model has analyzed Willson Contreras's matchup.
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What are Willson Contreras's prop odds tonight?▾
Willson Contreras (BOS) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
How has Willson Contreras been hitting recently?▾
Over his last 20 tracked games, Willson Contreras has gone over his hits line 40% of the time, over his home-run line 17% of the time, and over his total-bases line 39% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Where can I bet on Willson Contreras props?▾
Willson Contreras props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
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Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Willson Contreras — BOS 1B Hits over rate: 40% (last 20 games) HR over rate: 17% (last 18 games) TB over rate: 39% (last 18 games) K rate: 36.8% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 36% (league avg ~25%) Hard-hit rate: 39.2% (league avg ~36%) Barrel rate: 5% (league avg ~7%) HR rate: 2.5% (league avg ~3%) SLG: 0.383 (league avg ~.420) Stats as of: 2026-09-30