Willson Contreras
BOS · 1B
Underperforming catcher: 5% barrel rate, .050 ISO, 2.5% HR rate.
Everything you need to know about Willson Contreras before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 55% of the time across 20 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.
Compared to other contact hitters
Lowest K Rate among contact hitters this season. Top 10.
| # | Player | Team | K Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alejandro Osuna | TEX | 2.5% |
| 2 | Jung Hoo Lee | SF | 3.7% |
| 3 | Luis Arraez | SF | 4.0% |
| 4 | Miguel Rojas | LAD | 4.5% |
| 5 | Josh Naylor | SEA | 5.0% |
| 6 | Nico Hoerner | CHC | 5.7% |
| 7 | Javier Sanoja | MIA | 5.8% |
| 8 | Masataka Yoshida | BOS | 5.8% |
| 9 | Carlos Cortes | ATH | 6.5% |
| 10 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | 7.0% |
Willson Contreras is not in the top 10 contact hitters on k rate this season.
How is Willson Contreras performing?
Willson Contreras is a catcher whose offensive profile has deteriorated through 54 games. A 5% barrel rate and .050 ISO are well below his historical standard, and he's converted just 2.5% of plate appearances into home runs. His 13.5% strikeout rate is reasonable, but a 22.9% whiff rate suggests timing issues at the plate. With zero stolen bases, there's no secondary value to compensate for the power and contact shortfall.
Performance summary as of week of May 25, 2026
Hits Over Rate
55%
11 of 20 games
HR Over Rate
17%
Bottom 1%2 of 12 games
TB Over Rate
55%
11 of 20 games
Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.
HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.
TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.
Tonight's prop markets
These are the prop bets available for Willson Contreras. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.
Keep researching Willson Contreras
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How has Willson Contreras been hitting?
These are Willson Contreras's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.
K Rate
13.5%
Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%
Whiff %
15.9%
Top 3%Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%
Hard Hit %
39.2%
Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%
Barrel %
5.0%
Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%
HR Rate
2.5%
Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%
SLG
.383
Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420
Stats as of 2026-05-30 · extended sample through 2025-09-15
How has Willson Contreras been hitting recently?
Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 4 of 5 times against this line.
Our model has analyzed Willson Contreras's matchup.
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What are Willson Contreras's prop odds tonight?▾
Willson Contreras (BOS) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.
How has Willson Contreras been hitting recently?▾
Over his last 20 tracked games, Willson Contreras has gone over his hits line 55% of the time, over his home-run line 17% of the time, and over his total-bases line 55% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.
Where can I bet on Willson Contreras props?▾
Willson Contreras props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.
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Tonight's Games
Stats & Leaderboards
Willson Contreras — BOS 1B Hits over rate: 55% (last 20 games) HR over rate: 17% (last 12 games) TB over rate: 55% (last 20 games) K rate: 13.5% (league avg ~22%) Whiff rate: 15.9% (league avg ~25%) Hard-hit rate: 39.2% (league avg ~36%) Barrel rate: 5% (league avg ~7%) HR rate: 2.5% (league avg ~3%) SLG: 0.383 (league avg ~.420) Stats as of: 2026-05-30