Yordan Alvarez

HOU · DH

Contact bat with 30% barrel rate but .100 ISO and 4% HR rate.

Everything you need to know about Yordan Alvarez before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 20% of the time across 20 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.

Compared to other contact hitters

Lowest K Rate among contact hitters this season. Top 10.

#	Player	Team	K Rate
1	Keibert Ruiz	WSH	0.0%
2	Paul Goldschmidt	NYY	2.5%
3	Luis Arraez	PHI	4.5%
4	Nico Hoerner	CHC	4.5%
5	Andrew Knizner	SF	5.0%
6	Josh Rojas	KC	5.0%
7	Steven Kwan	CLE	6.2%
8	Jung Hoo Lee	SF	6.5%
9	Miguel Andujar	SD	6.7%
10	Gavin Sheets	SD	7.0%

Yordan Alvarez is not in the top 10 contact hitters on k rate this season.

How is Yordan Alvarez performing?

Yordan Alvarez is a contact-first hitter through 162 games with a 30% barrel rate and 10.5% strikeout rate, showing disciplined plate discipline. His 18.5% whiff rate keeps him competitive in counts, but a .100 ISO and 4% home-run rate reveal the core constraint: quality contact isn't translating to power production. With zero stolen bases, his offensive value depends entirely on batting average and on-base percentage, not run creation or extra-base hits.

Performance summary as of week of October 12, 2026

Hits Over Rate

20%

4 of 20 games

HR Over Rate

16%

Bottom 1%

3 of 19 games

TB Over Rate

20%

4 of 20 games

Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.

HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.

TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Yordan Alvarez. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Home Runs

Over rate

16%

19 games

›Hits

Hits

Over rate

20%

20 games

›Total Bases

Total Bases

Over rate

20%

20 games

›

Keep researching Yordan Alvarez

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

Tonight's player props, every market

Fair probability beside each posted line, and the dollar gap where two sportsbooks price the same bet differently.

Tonight's home run props

Every hitter's fair probability beside how often he actually clears the line this season.

What a price pays on your stake

Any American, decimal or fractional price, converted and costed. Works without a live board.

Tonight’s hitter prop board

Compare the live prices posted across books.

Tonight’s MLB card

See which MLB spots stand out on the slate right now.

League home run leaders

Compare this hitter to the game’s top power bats.

Hits prop page

Review line movement and recent hit-rate context.

Home run prop page

See long-ball pricing, books, and recent outcomes.

Total bases prop page

Check multi-hit and power-driven prop context.

How has Yordan Alvarez been hitting?

These are Yordan Alvarez's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.

K Rate

10.5%

Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%

Whiff %

18.5%

Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%

Hard Hit %

60.0%

Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%

Barrel %

30.0%

Top 1%

Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%

HR Rate

4.0%

Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%

SLG

.510

Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420

Stats as of 2026-09-30 · extended sample through 2025-09-14

How has Yordan Alvarez been hitting recently?

Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 4 of 5 times against this line.

0.5

Sep 30CWS@HOU

Sep 29CWS@HOU

Sep 27HOU@ATH

Sep 20ATL@HOU

Sep 19ATL@HOU

OverUnderLine (0.5)

Our model has analyzed Yordan Alvarez's matchup.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Yordan Alvarez's prop odds tonight?▾

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.

How has Yordan Alvarez been hitting recently?▾

Over his last 20 tracked games, Yordan Alvarez has gone over his hits line 20% of the time, over his home-run line 16% of the time, and over his total-bases line 20% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.

Where can I bet on Yordan Alvarez props?▾

Yordan Alvarez props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.

Explore More

Tonight's Games

Probable Pitchers Lineups Odds Picks

Stats & Leaderboards

Strikeout Leaders Home Run Leaders ERA Leaders Whiff Rate

Copy for AI

Yordan Alvarez — HOU DH
Hits over rate: 20% (last 20 games)
HR over rate: 16% (last 19 games)
TB over rate: 20% (last 20 games)
K rate: 10.5% (league avg ~22%)
Whiff rate: 18.5% (league avg ~25%)
Hard-hit rate: 60% (league avg ~36%)
Barrel rate: 30% (league avg ~7%)
HR rate: 4% (league avg ~3%)
SLG: 0.510 (league avg ~.420)
Stats as of: 2026-09-30