Francisco Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez

NYM · C

Boom-or-bust power catcher: 27.5% barrel, 10.8% HR, 30% K rate.

Everything you need to know about Francisco Alvarez before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 38% of the time across 21 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.

Compared to other power hitters

Highest Barrel Rate among power hitters this season. Top 10.

#PlayerTeamBarrel Rate
1Mike TroutLAA50.0%
2Colton CowserBAL41.7%
3Billy CookPIT39.8%
4Aaron JudgeNYY39.2%
5Adrian Del CastilloAZ37.5%
6Dominic CanzoneSEA36.5%
7Wyatt LangfordTEX35.0%
8Pete AlonsoBAL34.2%
9James WoodWSH34.2%
10Spencer TorkelsonDET33.3%

Francisco Alvarez is not in the top 10 power hitters on barrel rate this season.

How is Francisco Alvarez performing?

Francisco Alvarez is a high-variance power catcher through 112 games. His 27.5% barrel rate and .167 ISO reflect consistent hard contact, converted into a 10.8% home-run rate. The cost is steep: a 30.2% strikeout rate and 30.9% whiff rate create a boom-or-bust profile where contact quality matters more than contact rate. He offers ceiling on power but limited floor, with no stolen-base activity to diversify value.

Performance summary as of week of October 12, 2026

Hits Over Rate

38%

8 of 21 games

HR Over Rate

11%

Bottom 1%

2 of 18 games

TB Over Rate

35%

7 of 20 games

Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.

HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.

TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Francisco Alvarez. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Home Runs

Home Runs

Over rate

11%

18 games

›Hits

Hits

Over rate

38%

21 games

›Total Bases

Total Bases

Over rate

35%

20 games

›

Keep researching Francisco Alvarez

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

Tonight's player props, every market
Fair probability beside each posted line, and the dollar gap where two sportsbooks price the same bet differently.
Tonight's home run props
Every hitter's fair probability beside how often he actually clears the line this season.
What a price pays on your stake
Any American, decimal or fractional price, converted and costed. Works without a live board.
Tonight’s hitter prop board
Compare the live prices posted across books.
Tonight’s MLB card
See which MLB spots stand out on the slate right now.
League home run leaders
Compare this hitter to the game’s top power bats.
Hits prop page
Review line movement and recent hit-rate context.
Home run prop page
See long-ball pricing, books, and recent outcomes.
Total bases prop page
Check multi-hit and power-driven prop context.

How has Francisco Alvarez been hitting?

These are Francisco Alvarez's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.

K Rate

30.2%

Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%

Whiff %

30.9%

Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%

Hard Hit %

60.0%

Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%

Barrel %

27.5%

Top 1%

Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%

HR Rate

10.8%

Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%

SLG

.682

Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420

Stats as of 2026-09-26 · extended sample through 2025-09-28

How has Francisco Alvarez been hitting recently?

Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 2 of 5 times against this line.

0.5
0
Sep 26NYM@WSH
0
Sep 25NYM@WSH
2
Sep 20PHI@NYM
2
Sep 19PHI@NYM
0
Sep 17PHI@NYM
OverUnderLine (0.5)

Our model has analyzed Francisco Alvarez's matchup.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are Francisco Alvarez's prop odds tonight?▾

Francisco Alvarez (NYM) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.

How has Francisco Alvarez been hitting recently?▾

Over his last 21 tracked games, Francisco Alvarez has gone over his hits line 38% of the time, over his home-run line 11% of the time, and over his total-bases line 35% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.

Where can I bet on Francisco Alvarez props?▾

Francisco Alvarez props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.

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Tonight's Games

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Stats & Leaderboards

Strikeout LeadersHome Run LeadersERA LeadersWhiff Rate
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Francisco Alvarez — NYM C
Hits over rate: 38% (last 21 games)
HR over rate: 11% (last 18 games)
TB over rate: 35% (last 20 games)
K rate: 30.2% (league avg ~22%)
Whiff rate: 30.9% (league avg ~25%)
Hard-hit rate: 60% (league avg ~36%)
Barrel rate: 27.5% (league avg ~7%)
HR rate: 10.8% (league avg ~3%)
SLG: 0.682 (league avg ~.420)
Stats as of: 2026-09-26