Francisco Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez

NYM · C

Power catcher: 27.5% barrel rate, .167 ISO, 10.8% HR rate, 29.2% K rate.

Everything you need to know about Francisco Alvarez before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 33% of the time across 21 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.

Compared to other power hitters

Highest Barrel Rate among power hitters this season. Top 10.

#PlayerTeamBarrel Rate
1Eli WhiteBOS52.1%
2Mike TroutLAA50.0%
3Colton CowserBAL41.7%
4Billy CookPIT39.8%
5Dominic CanzoneSEA36.5%
6Wyatt LangfordTEX35.0%
7Pete AlonsoBAL34.2%
8Spencer TorkelsonDET33.3%
9Roman AnthonyBOS31.7%
10Colt KeithDET31.5%

Francisco Alvarez is not in the top 10 power hitters on barrel rate this season.

How is Francisco Alvarez performing?

Francisco Alvarez is a power-first catcher through 76 games with a 27.5% barrel rate and .167 ISO, showing consistent hard contact. His 10.8% home-run rate converts that power into results. The offset is a 29.2% strikeout rate and 38.6% whiff rate, both well above typical, which limits his offensive floor. He's a high-variance bat: when he connects, the ball travels; when he doesn't, strikeouts pile up.

Performance summary as of week of August 3, 2026

Hits Over Rate

33%

7 of 21 games

HR Over Rate

5%

Bottom 1%

1 of 19 games

TB Over Rate

30%

6 of 20 games

Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.

HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.

TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Francisco Alvarez. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Home Runs

Home Runs

Over rate

5%

19 games

›Hits

Hits

Over rate

33%

21 games

›Total Bases

Total Bases

Over rate

30%

20 games

›

Keep researching Francisco Alvarez

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

Tonight's player props, every market
Fair probability beside each posted line, and the dollar gap where two sportsbooks price the same bet differently.
Tonight's home run props
Every hitter's fair probability beside how often he actually clears the line this season.
What a price pays on your stake
Any American, decimal or fractional price, converted and costed. Works without a live board.
Tonight’s hitter prop board
Compare the live prices posted across books.
Tonight’s MLB card
See which MLB spots stand out on the slate right now.
League home run leaders
Compare this hitter to the game’s top power bats.
Hits prop page
Review line movement and recent hit-rate context.
Home run prop page
See long-ball pricing, books, and recent outcomes.
Total bases prop page
Check multi-hit and power-driven prop context.

How has Francisco Alvarez been hitting?

These are Francisco Alvarez's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.

K Rate

51.5%

Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%

Whiff %

49.0%

Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%

Hard Hit %

60.0%

Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%

Barrel %

27.5%

Top 1%

Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%

HR Rate

10.8%

Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%

SLG

.682

Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420

Stats as of 2026-08-29 · extended sample through 2025-09-28

How has Francisco Alvarez been hitting recently?

Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (0.5). He went over 2 of 5 times against this line.

0.5
0
Aug 30HOU@NYM
1
Aug 29HOU@NYM
0
Aug 27MIL@NYM
1
Aug 26MIL@NYM
0
Aug 23NYM@CWS
OverUnderLine (0.5)

Our model has analyzed Francisco Alvarez's matchup.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are Francisco Alvarez's prop odds tonight?▾

Francisco Alvarez (NYM) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.

How has Francisco Alvarez been hitting recently?▾

Over his last 21 tracked games, Francisco Alvarez has gone over his hits line 33% of the time, over his home-run line 5% of the time, and over his total-bases line 30% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.

Where can I bet on Francisco Alvarez props?▾

Francisco Alvarez props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.

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Tonight's Games

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Stats & Leaderboards

Strikeout LeadersHome Run LeadersERA LeadersWhiff Rate
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Francisco Alvarez — NYM C
Hits over rate: 33% (last 21 games)
HR over rate: 5% (last 19 games)
TB over rate: 30% (last 20 games)
K rate: 51.5% (league avg ~22%)
Whiff rate: 49% (league avg ~25%)
Hard-hit rate: 60% (league avg ~36%)
Barrel rate: 27.5% (league avg ~7%)
HR rate: 10.8% (league avg ~3%)
SLG: 0.682 (league avg ~.420)
Stats as of: 2026-08-29