Francisco Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez

NYM · C

Power-only bat: 27.5% barrel, 10.8% HR rate, 39.1% whiff.

Everything you need to know about Francisco Alvarez before you bet. He's gone over his hits line 45% of the time across 20 tracked games. Compare home run, hits, and total bases odds across 8 sportsbooks below.

Compared to other power hitters

Highest Barrel Rate among power hitters this season. Top 10.

#PlayerTeamBarrel Rate
1Eli WhiteATL52.1%
2Mike TroutLAA50.0%
3Colton CowserBAL41.7%
4Kerry CarpenterDET40.7%
5Aaron JudgeNYY39.2%
6Adrian Del CastilloAZ37.5%
7Dominic CanzoneSEA36.5%
8Pete AlonsoBAL34.2%
9James WoodWSH34.2%
10Spencer TorkelsonDET33.3%

Francisco Alvarez is not in the top 10 power hitters on barrel rate this season.

How is Francisco Alvarez performing?

Francisco Alvarez remains a pure power profile through 36 games. His 27.5% barrel rate and 10.8% home-run rate sit well above league typical, with a .167 ISO showing consistent extra-base hits. The strikeout rate has ticked up to 27.8% and whiff rate to 39.1%, a notable jump from earlier in the season—both now at the higher end for power bats. No stolen bases means all offensive value flows through slugging.

Performance summary as of week of May 11, 2026

Hits Over Rate

45%

9 of 20 games

HR Over Rate

0%

Bottom 1%

0 of 5 games

TB Over Rate

50%

10 of 20 games

Hits Over Rate — How often he goes over his hits line. Shows how reliable he is for hits props.

HR Over Rate — How often he goes over his home run line. Higher = he hits for power consistently.

TB Over Rate — How often he goes over his total bases line. Combines hits + extra-base power.

Tonight's prop markets

These are the prop bets available for Francisco Alvarez. Each card shows the over rate and game count. Click any market to compare odds across 8 sportsbooks.

Home Runs

Home Runs

Over rate

0%

5 games

›Hits

Hits

Over rate

45%

20 games

›Total Bases

Total Bases

Over rate

50%

20 games

›

Keep researching Francisco Alvarez

Use these pages to move from a single player overview into the most relevant MLB research surfaces for tonight's slate.

Tonight’s hitter prop board
Compare the live prices posted across books.
Tonight’s MLB card
See which MLB spots stand out on the slate right now.
League home run leaders
Compare this hitter to the game’s top power bats.
Hits prop page
Review line movement and recent hit-rate context.
Home run prop page
See long-ball pricing, books, and recent outcomes.
Total bases prop page
Check multi-hit and power-driven prop context.

How has Francisco Alvarez been hitting?

These are Francisco Alvarez's Statcast numbers — the advanced metrics behind hits, home runs, and total bases. Green values are above league average.

K Rate

26.2%

Strikeout rate · league avg ~22%

Whiff %

36.8%

Swing-and-miss rate · league avg ~25%

Hard Hit %

60.0%

Pct of balls hit ≥95 mph · league avg ~36%

Barrel %

27.5%

Top 1%

Highest-quality contact · league avg ~7%

HR Rate

10.8%

Home runs per AB · league avg ~3%

SLG

.682

Slugging percentage · league avg ~.420

Stats as of 2026-05-12 · extended sample through 2025-09-28

How has Francisco Alvarez been hitting recently?

Each bar shows hits per start. The gold dashed line is the most recent posted hits line (1.5). He went over 0 of 5 times against this line.

1.5
1
May 12DET@NYM
0
May 9NYM@ARI
1
May 7NYM@COL
1
May 4NYM@COL
0
Apr 29WSH@NYM
OverUnderLine (1.5)

Our model has analyzed Francisco Alvarez's matchup.

Sign up free to see tonight's best bets across all MLB markets.

Sign up free

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Francisco Alvarez's prop odds tonight?▾

Francisco Alvarez (NYM) typically has three batter prop markets posted: hits, home runs, and total bases. Each prop page on OddsGuy compares the live line and price across 8 sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics, Bovada, and Pinnacle) and highlights the best available price.

How has Francisco Alvarez been hitting recently?▾

Over his last 20 tracked games, Francisco Alvarez has gone over his hits line 45% of the time, over his home-run line 0% of the time, and over his total-bases line 50% of the time. The prop pages above show every settled game with the line, actual outcome, and book context.

Where can I bet on Francisco Alvarez props?▾

Francisco Alvarez props are posted at the major US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics — and offshore at Pinnacle and Bovada. The prop pages above compare live pricing across all 8 books so you can find the best number.

Explore More

Tonight's Games

Probable PitchersLineupsOddsPicks

Stats & Leaderboards

Strikeout LeadersHome Run LeadersERA LeadersWhiff Rate
Copy for AI
Francisco Alvarez — NYM C
Hits over rate: 45% (last 20 games)
HR over rate: 0% (last 5 games)
TB over rate: 50% (last 20 games)
K rate: 26.2% (league avg ~22%)
Whiff rate: 36.8% (league avg ~25%)
Hard-hit rate: 60% (league avg ~36%)
Barrel rate: 27.5% (league avg ~7%)
HR rate: 10.8% (league avg ~3%)
SLG: 0.682 (league avg ~.420)
Stats as of: 2026-05-12